Forums / Political & Legal / THE MIDDLE EAST IS ON FIRE AND IMPLODING MORE AND MORE EVERY DAY---

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2 years 20 weeks ago, 5:27 PM

LLE

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BECAUSE our long term "lead from behind" international style, has all but lost us any confidence the Middle East leadership ever had in the good old USA.

We are now as close to an all out, blood and guts conflagration, as we have been in decades; Israel is most probably on a steady-state highest DEFCON, with the IAF and Israeli Navy [woefully underestimated] on continuous patrols, and the Israeli intelligence satellites operating 24/7. The Saudis have pretty much indicated, they are not going to let Iran run roughshod all over the territory, and their military actions in and around Yemen, have signaled clearly to Ayatollah Khamenei, he needs to back off, and it is no secret the Saudis have been in "secret" discussions with the Israelis. [a miracle!?]

The feces are about to hit the fan. Stand by for some hard and fast necessary military action.

Too old to fight, Too old to run, guess that's why I carry a gun! "would someone show this asshole the way out of town".[Rabbi Avram Belinski-aka "The Frisco Kid"]
2 years 20 weeks ago, 10:23 AM

LLE

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It becomes interesting, because THAT Muslim/Islamic division probably represents a great difficulty in reconciling any possibility of a radical Islamic movement toward effective middle east or global control. Our present US administration seems naïve and disinterested in this reality.
Population studies of this sectarian division have always been fuzzy, and I have always used the 80/20 ratio.----that is the Shia minority is 20%of the total + ~1.5 billion Muslims, and the great bulk of that group represents some centers of Middle East controversy, like Iran/Iraq and India / Pakistan.
The Sunni majority is huge, when we consider the possible outcome of this continually simmering inter-religious problem. I think Saudia and Egypt are the big influence broker players in the middle east. If the Saudis see Iran as the principal supporters of the desired take-over of the middle east using ISIS AS THE PROXY[Iranian] ARMY, AND AT THE SAME TIME, if the Saudis see Iran as the first acquirers of nuclear weapons, the Saudis are not going to permit a Shia take over, without a hellofa fight. It has been reported that the Saudis are in the active market for both nukes and ballistic missiles, so as to become a countervailing force to the plans of the Iranian Caliphate.
Jordan is basically Sunni, and has been adept at diplomacy, but in the end, if push comes to shove, Jordan has no "big stick", except its togetherness with the big guy Sunnis.
Egypt, under al Sissi, wants no part of Iranian backed ISIS, and has already joined the fight against ISIS with air strikes, and will probably be encouraged by the Saudis to continue.

In the end result, I am betting that the Sunni versus Shia ancient sectarian hatred will have a great deal to do with the defeat of ISIS and Iran's desire to build the Second Persian Empire.

Too old to fight, Too old to run, guess that's why I carry a gun! "would someone show this asshole the way out of town".[Rabbi Avram Belinski-aka "The Frisco Kid"]

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